Sage on the Web

It is a shame the start of the business year has been interrupted by the weather.  A strong December trading performance will have been somewhat diluted by a poor January.   Although seeing the number of Dad’s sledging last week, people may be returning to work relaxed and happy having had a bit of quality time at home outside of the Christmas rush.

This year will be dominated by politics and the economy.

Whilst the private sector has swallowed its medicine with the minimum of fuss and the maximum of fortitude during 2009 the public sector had been spared.  Not only have the public sector been spared actual cuts, but they have not even had their expectations properly set.  Alastair Darling has fallen out with Gordon Brown because he won’t even talk about the massive cuts coming.

The indications are that we will have a period of industrial relations turbulence.   If the unions at BA (I know they are privatised, but they still think like public servants) can’t wake up and smell the coffee it is a bad indicator for what is to come.

An insolvency practitioner friend of mine told me the insolvency courts were full of winding up orders at the end of 2009. The reason being that HMRC were treating companies with kid gloves in the first half of 2009 but in the second half their attitude changed  – no more Mr Nice Guy.  The significance of this is timing, the companies which are being wound up actually failed in the first half of 2009, however the news about their winding up will only surface over the next few months. 

The worry is that the news about more company closures, public sector cuts, higher taxes and industrial relations strife will sap confidence.   The reduction in public spending will also reduce the amount of cash swirling around in the economy.

Overall I am optimistic, but not confident in the prospects for 2010.  The difference between 2009 and 2010 is that we have an idea of what is coming, at this time last year we didn’t know whether the sky was still about to fall in.  We know this year is going to be tough, we know there will be public sector cuts, a change of Government with little latitude to make a big changes.   We also have the confidence of knowing we can come through a year like 2009. 

This is the year of the “Grind”, where good companies and good management teams grind their way from survival to growth.

Tags: Interim FD, Outsourced accounting, Part time FD

This entry was posted on Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010 at 3:54 pm and is filed under Business Skills, Business Survival, Finance Director. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.